Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.432542 0.492459 0.556424 0.629655 0.711027 0.798526 0.899581
2025-11-02 0.330212 0.410959 0.503699 0.617503 0.752761 0.907720 1.097983
2025-11-09 0.258478 0.350058 0.462699 0.610013 0.795998 1.021293 1.312934
2025-11-16 0.207540 0.304624 0.431979 0.608597 0.844087 1.143822 1.550158
2025-11-23 0.166405 0.264035 0.400241 0.599826 0.879671 1.252213 1.778535
2025-11-30 0.140125 0.239011 0.384987 0.609776 0.939342 1.395632 2.063657
2025-12-07 0.115097 0.210974 0.360600 0.602351 0.972194 1.503507 2.307587
2025-12-14 0.097808 0.191817 0.346294 0.607089 1.021663 1.637132 2.596178
2025-12-21 0.081095 0.170319 0.324715 0.596934 1.046150 1.734515 2.837486
2025-12-28 0.072549 0.161750 0.323153 0.618431 1.121261 1.912368 3.209480
2026-01-04 0.065101 0.153792 0.321291 0.638632 1.195195 2.092555 3.595442
2026-01-11 0.056629 0.142100 0.310811 0.642067 1.240576 2.229513 3.921074
2026-01-18 0.048955 0.130697 0.299461 0.642910 1.282063 2.363961 4.253097
2026-01-25 0.042307 0.120180 0.288269 0.642553 1.321012 2.496377 4.589495
2026-02-01 0.036666 0.110782 0.277915 0.642394 1.359864 2.630616 4.936210
2026-02-08 0.032114 0.103042 0.269878 0.645728 1.405071 2.778164 5.313106
2026-02-15 0.027555 0.094191 0.257977 0.639512 1.431064 2.892769 5.638918
2026-02-22 0.024787 0.089594 0.255106 0.651956 1.494172 3.077408 6.096146
2026-03-01 0.021323 0.082101 0.244138 0.645298 1.518166 3.191285 6.433013
2026-03-08 0.018946 0.077297 0.239030 0.651092 1.567772 3.355320 6.867911
2026-03-15 0.016179 0.070459 0.227582 0.640783 1.582572 3.453735 7.187144
2026-03-22 0.015082 0.068984 0.230136 0.663938 1.670380 3.697357 7.786544
2026-03-29 0.014019 0.067358 0.232024 0.685608 1.756399 3.941736 8.397925